Scheffler Favored to Win 2026 U.S. Open, But Longest Odds Since 2023

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Scottie Scheffler heads into the 2026 U.S. Open as the favorite, but his +455 odds mark his longest entry into the event since 2023, according to ESPN Golf. This trend reflects the intense competition he faces from a field that includes Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Xander Schauffele, and Cameron Young.

The Top Contenders

Rory McIlroy is the second favorite at +940, followed closely by Jon Rahm at +1175. Xander Schauffele comes in at +1850, and Cameron Young rounds out the top five at 19-1, per ESPN Golf. Matt Fitzpatrick and Tommy Fleetwood share the same odds at +2250, indicating a strong showing from European golfers.

Si Woo Kim and Sam Burns are also in contention, with Kim at 36-1 and Burns at 37-1. However, the most interesting discrepancy comes from Tyrrell Hatton, who is listed at 30-1 at Caesars and 44-1 at DraftKings due to a significant wager, highlighting the impact of betting patterns on odds.

Brooks Koepka, a four-time major winner and former U.S. Open champion, is set at 32-1, a testament to his consistent performance in major tournaments and his popularity among bettors, according to ESPN Golf.

Analysis: Scheffler’s Long Odds and the Competitive Field

While Scheffler remains the favorite, his +455 odds suggest a more competitive field than in previous years. This shift could be attributed to the recent form of his closest competitors. Rory McIlroy, for instance, has been on a tear, winning multiple tournaments and displaying the kind of form that can carry him through a challenging U.S. Open course.

Jon Rahm, known for his precision and power, has also shown signs of returning to his best, making him a formidable opponent. Xander Schauffele and Cameron Young, both rising stars, have been consistent performers in major championships, adding to the depth of the field.

The longer odds for Scheffler might also indicate a level of caution among bookmakers, who are well aware of the unpredictable nature of the U.S. Open. The tournament is notorious for its difficult conditions, which can level the playing field and create unexpected outcomes.

What’s Next: Eyes on the Prize

As the 2026 U.S. Open approaches, fans will be closely watching the form and preparation of these top contenders. Scheffler’s ability to handle pressure and maintain his composure will be crucial, especially given the increased competition. McIlroy, Rahm, Schauffele, and Young will all be looking to capitalize on any slip-ups and make their own mark on the historic tournament.

The U.S. Open is always a test of skill, patience, and mental fortitude, and the coming weeks will reveal which players are best prepared to rise to the challenge.

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